Rahim Tabet | Februari 22, 2016 |
Burundi
It goes badly with the Central African country Burundi (Bujumbura, 10 million inhabitants), one of the world's poorest countries. Burundi has entered for months in an acute crisis. There were about 70 casualties during anti-regime demonstrations in May and June 2015, there is mention made of grenade attacks in the capital and the interior. How did this happen?
Reports of intimidation because of the pro-regime youth group cum "imbonakure" militia are commonplace. An attempt failed coup. More than 100 000 Burundians fled to neighboring countries. The Burundian economy - previously already was not in good shape - suffers from this political instability and risks to implode ... There are signs of ethnic tensions and there is a risk of political manipulation of the underlying ethnic factor in Burundian society, although it violence is currently mainly political in nature and is situated between regime, opposition and civil society across ethnic lines.
President Nkurunziza, since 2005 in power, wants a third term as president as the constitution, based on the Arusha Peace Agreement, allowing only two mandates. He (perhaps shifted the date to July 26) coming on July 15 elected for a new term of five years. His candidacy is a factor of division within his own party and in the country.
The country was after the terrible civil wars of the nineties, well on its way to becoming an acceptable democracy Arusha (2000) thanks to the peace agreement with great freedom of speech and a vibrant civil society. Although economic governance was (very) questionable quality, but the ethnic gap was gradually bridged. Burundi was until recently the example of a society in which the horrors of ethnic violence could overcome and therefore could be an example for the volatile region of the African Great Lakes. President Nkurunziza, and the small group of actual rulers around him, put to cling this progress at risk by stubbornly to power.
Should the "international community" to interfere in this internal Burundian problem? Russia, China and some neighboring countries do not think so. Others fear that elections will not consensual lead to renewed internal violence and to reopen the ethnic divide. This could have a very negative impact on the already unstable Great Lakes region. Rarely such a huge diplomatic pressure exerted by (some of) the "international community" on a sitting president and the regime. In recent months, reiterated the Secretary-General and the Security Council of the UN, the European Union and the African Union in sometimes little diplomatic terms the need to respect the Arusha Peace Agreement, to seek a third mandate and acceptable and inclusive elections in to write in order to keep the country on a democratic course and to safeguard the internal and regional stability. It should be noted that all these diplomatic pressure so far has had little or no result.
Feature of Burundi's main partners and donors on instruments other than diplomatic pressure to influence the behavior of the regime in Bujumbura? And the time has come to use that? Most bilateral donors - Belgium was the first in the queue - have announced that they are unable or unwilling to cooperate with a government and president who have insufficient legitimacy or who is feared that they land their blind lust for power further push the impasse. Indeed, structural development must be based on a minimum of mutual trust and should be used with a credible partner. The Burundian government and president that less and less. Problems with the regime in power in Burundi also means that the more should be paid more attention to the needs of the Burundian people. Other channels should now be found quickly and made operational to continue to help people substantially, especially now deteriorating economic situation caused by the ongoing political crisis.
President Nkurunziza, since 2005 in power, wants a third term as president as the constitution, based on the Arusha Peace Agreement, allowing only two mandates. He (perhaps shifted the date to July 26) coming on July 15 elected for a new term of five years. His candidacy is a factor of division within his own party and in the country.
The country was after the terrible civil wars of the nineties, well on its way to becoming an acceptable democracy Arusha (2000) thanks to the peace agreement with great freedom of speech and a vibrant civil society. Although economic governance was (very) questionable quality, but the ethnic gap was gradually bridged. Burundi was until recently the example of a society in which the horrors of ethnic violence could overcome and therefore could be an example for the volatile region of the African Great Lakes. President Nkurunziza, and the small group of actual rulers around him, put to cling this progress at risk by stubbornly to power.
Should the "international community" to interfere in this internal Burundian problem? Russia, China and some neighboring countries do not think so. Others fear that elections will not consensual lead to renewed internal violence and to reopen the ethnic divide. This could have a very negative impact on the already unstable Great Lakes region. Rarely such a huge diplomatic pressure exerted by (some of) the "international community" on a sitting president and the regime. In recent months, reiterated the Secretary-General and the Security Council of the UN, the European Union and the African Union in sometimes little diplomatic terms the need to respect the Arusha Peace Agreement, to seek a third mandate and acceptable and inclusive elections in to write in order to keep the country on a democratic course and to safeguard the internal and regional stability. It should be noted that all these diplomatic pressure so far has had little or no result.
Feature of Burundi's main partners and donors on instruments other than diplomatic pressure to influence the behavior of the regime in Bujumbura? And the time has come to use that? Most bilateral donors - Belgium was the first in the queue - have announced that they are unable or unwilling to cooperate with a government and president who have insufficient legitimacy or who is feared that they land their blind lust for power further push the impasse. Indeed, structural development must be based on a minimum of mutual trust and should be used with a credible partner. The Burundian government and president that less and less. Problems with the regime in power in Burundi also means that the more should be paid more attention to the needs of the Burundian people. Other channels should now be found quickly and made operational to continue to help people substantially, especially now deteriorating economic situation caused by the ongoing political crisis.
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